If you are in a battleground state today, you might see someone in an elephant mask doing a rain dance. In 2007 study titled “Republicans Should Pray for Rain: Weather, Turnout and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections,” Brad T. Gomez, Thomas Hanford and George A. Krause concluded that every inch of rain above average on Election Day, gives Republicans an additional 2.5 percent of the vote, and every inch of snow above average increases the Republican vote share by 0.6 percent.
So what is the forecast for Tuesday in the main battleground states? Weatherbill, a private online weather risk management service based in San Francisco, has crunched the numbers for seven such states, looking at historical data in each state’s capital city, and has arrived at much the same conclusions as the National Weather Service: fair skies and little chance of rain in most, but not all, of the places that are still up for grabs.
Via The Caucus